Abstract: Tropical cyclones (TCs) cause much damage and loss of life worldwide. The impacts of TCs may worsen in the coming decades due to rapid coastal development coupled with sea-level rise and possibly increasing TC activity. Here we discuss about TC hazard projection and risk management in a holistic modeling framework. First, we introduce probabilistic TC models that can be used to generate large numbers of synthetic storms with physically correlated characteristics under projected climate conditions. Second, we discuss about TC wind, rainfall, and surge hazard modeling, and the coupling with the TC models to estimate individual and compound hazard probabilities. Then, we discuss about infrastructure vulnerability modeling, and the coupling with the TC hazard projection to estimate future TC risk and develop risk management strategies. We focus on two examples, namely, TC-blackout-heatwave compound risk and adaptive coastal protection. 

*Refreshments: 10:30 AM - 11:00 AM (Atrium)