Margin of Victory Is Truer Indicator of Teams' Strength

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Barbara Christopher
Industrial and Systems Engineering
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New York Times - March 17, 2008
Column by Joel Sokol, associate professor at the Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering. The North Carolina Tar Heels had a good day Sunday. They beat Clemson for the Atlantic Coast Conference title, were at the top of the polls and were rewarded with the No. 1 overall seed in the N.C.A.A. men's tournament. They have plenty of momentum, not having lost in more than a month. But will they win the championship? Not in my bracket. . . .To test that hypothesis, we at the Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering at Georgia Tech took a four-year sample of college basketball results and extracted the thousands of games in which teams played each other twice during a season. If the purists are right, a team that beats an opponent once, even by only a point, should be more likely to win the rematch because the first victory (however small) shows that it is a better team. Read more>>

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  • Created By: Barbara Christopher
  • Workflow Status: Published
  • Created On: Mar 17, 2008 - 8:00pm
  • Last Updated: Oct 7, 2016 - 11:06pm