Physics Seminar

Event Details
  • Date/Time:
    • Tuesday November 25, 2014
      2:00 pm - 3:00 pm
  • Location: Klaus 1116 East
  • Phone:
  • URL:
  • Email:
  • Fee(s):
    N/A
  • Extras:
Contact

Joshua Weitz, PhD

Summaries

Summary Sentence: "Mathematical Models of the Ebola Virus Disease Outbreak in West Africa: Principles, Predictions, and Control" - Joshua Weitz, PhD - Georgia Tech

Full Summary: Physics Seminar - "Mathematical Models of the Ebola Virus Disease Outbreak in West Africa: Principles, Predictions, and Control" - Joshua Weitz, PhD - Georgia Tech

"Mathematical Models of the Ebola Virus Disease Outbreak in West Africa: Principles, Predictions, and Control"

Joshua Weitz, PhD
Professor
Theoretical Ecology and Quantitative Biology
School of Biology
Georgia Tech

The Ebola epidemic in West Africa has spurred an international response. This response has been strongly influenced by epidemiological models that predicted a devastating rise in cases without large-scale changes in behavior and intervention. In this talk, I introduce the mathematical principles underlying predictions of the rate and scope of a disease epidemic. I then explain how such principles have been applied to forecasting Ebola virus disease (EVD) dynamics and identifying the type and scale of necessary control. One control mechanism involves influencing behavior and social norms to limit post-death transmission, e.g., during burial ceremonies of individuals who died from EVD. Post-death transmission for EVD has been recognized for over 10 years, yet its relative importance in the current epidemic remains uncertain. I conclude my talk with an analysis of ongoing challenges in estimating the relative importance of post-death transmission from early-stage epidemic data. I show why such estimation is hard and yet, nonetheless, why controlling post-death transmission is likely to have a substantial effect on short- and long-term epidemic outcomes.

Related Links

Additional Information

In Campus Calendar
Yes
Groups

Parker H. Petit Institute for Bioengineering and Bioscience (IBB)

Invited Audience
Undergraduate students, Faculty/Staff, Graduate students
Categories
Seminar/Lecture/Colloquium
Keywords
No keywords were submitted.
Status
  • Created By: Colly Mitchell
  • Workflow Status: Published
  • Created On: Nov 20, 2014 - 5:01am
  • Last Updated: Apr 13, 2017 - 5:21pm