{"660483":{"#nid":"660483","#data":{"type":"news","title":"Georgia Tech Researchers Release County-Level Calculator to Estimate Risk of Covid-19 Exposure at U.S. Events ","body":[{"value":"\u003Cp\u003EAn interactive dashboard that estimates Covid-19 incidence at gatherings in the U.S. has added a new feature: the ability to calculate county-level risk of attending an event with someone actively infected with Coronavirus (Covid-19). Previously, the dashboard estimated exposure for different size events by state.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003EThe new \u201c\u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu\/\u0022\u003ECovid-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool\u003C\/a\u003E\u201d is the work of \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/biosciences.gatech.edu\/people\/joshua-weitz\u0022\u003EJoshua Weitz\u003C\/a\u003E, professor in the \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/biosciences.gatech.edu\/\u0022\u003ESchool of Biological Sciences\u003C\/a\u003E and founding director of Georgia Tech\u2019s \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/qbios.gatech.edu\/\u0022\u003EPh.D. in Quantitative Biosciences\u003C\/a\u003E program, in collaboration with the lab of \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/www.cc.gatech.edu\/people\/clio-andris\u0022\u003EClio Andris\u003C\/a\u003E, an assistant professor in the\u0026nbsp;\u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/planning.gatech.edu\/\u0022\u003ESchool of City and Regional Planning\u003C\/a\u003E with a joint appointment in the \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/ic.gatech.edu\/\u0022\u003ESchool of Interactive Computing\u003C\/a\u003E at Georgia Tech, and with researchers from the \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/www.abil.ihrc.com\/\u0022\u003EApplied Bioinformatics Laboratory\u003C\/a\u003E (a public\/private partnership between Georgia Tech, IHRC Inc., and ASRT Inc.).\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E\u201cWe have developed an interactive\u0026nbsp;county-level map of the risk that one or more individuals may have\u0026nbsp;Covid-19 in events of different sizes,\u201d Weitz says. \u201cThe issue of understanding risks associated with gatherings is even more\u0026nbsp;relevant as many kinds of businesses, including sports and universities, are\u0026nbsp;considering how to re-open safely.\u201d\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003EThe dashboard accounts for widespread gaps in U.S. testing for the Coronavirus, which can silently spread through individuals who display mild or no symptoms of illness. \u201cPrecisely because of under-testing and the risk of exposure and infection, these risk calculations provide further support for the ongoing need for social distancing and protective measures. Such precautions are still needed even in small events, given the large number of circulating cases,\u201d states \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu\/\u0022\u003Ethe dashboard\u2019s website\u003C\/a\u003E.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003EFor example: As of Monday, July 6, for an event with 100 attendees in Fulton County, Georgia, the estimated risk of someone in attendance being actively infected with Coronavirus is 76 percent. For that same day at an event with 1,000 attendees, the estimated risk in all but 16 of Georgia\u2019s 159 counties exceeds 99 percent.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003EThe dashboard\u2019s technical development was made possible by contributions from Seolha\u0026nbsp;Lee, a master\u2019s student in Andris\u0027 group, and Aroon Chande, a Ph.D. candidate in Bioinformatics at Georgia Tech.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003EThe dashboard\u2019s website, which is updated daily, incorporates data from \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2020\/us\/coronavirus-us-cases.html\u0022\u003E\u003Cem\u003EThe New York Times\u003C\/em\u003E case count\u003C\/a\u003E and \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/covidtracking.com\/\u0022\u003ECovidtracking.com dashboard\u003C\/a\u003E (a resource led by journalist Alexis Madrigal of \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/\u0022\u003E\u003Cem\u003EThe Atlantic\u003C\/em\u003E\u003C\/a\u003E\u003Cem\u003E)\u003C\/em\u003E. Both of these databases record confirmed case reports from state-level departments of public\u0026nbsp;health.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E\u201cThe Covid-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool takes the number of cases reported in the past 14 days in each county, and\u0026nbsp;multiplies these by an under-testing factor to estimate the number of\u0026nbsp;circulating cases in a particular county,\u201d Weitz explains. (In late June, Robert Redfield, director of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/time.com\/5859790\/cdc-coronavirus-estimates\/\u0022\u003Estated on a press call\u003C\/a\u003E that \u201cnow that \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/rh.gatech.edu\/news\/635137\/immunity-recovered-covid-19-patients-could-cut-risk-expanding-economic-activity\u0022\u003Eserology tests\u003C\/a\u003E are available, which test for antibodies, the estimates we have right now show about 10 times more people have antibodies in the jurisdictions tested than had documented infections.\u201d)\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E\u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/www.nationalgeographic.com\/science\/2020\/03\/graphic-see-why-small-groups-are-safer-during-covid-19-coronavirus-pandemic\/\u0022\u003ETracking tools developed earlier this year\u003C\/a\u003E by Weitz and colleagues at Georgia Tech and other institutions are also factored into the team\u2019s new county-level calculator. \u201cThe model is simple, intentionally so, and provided context for the rationale to \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/www.ajc.com\/blog\/get-schooled\/scientists-the-math-show-how-large-events-like-march-madness-could-spread-coronavirus\/g1pVdzQgJS5aoPnadBqyXO\/\u0022\u003Ehalt large gatherings in early-mid March\u003C\/a\u003E and newly relevant context for considering when and how to re-open,\u201d \u003Ca href=\u0022https:\/\/covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu\/\u0022\u003Estates the dashboard website\u003C\/a\u003E.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n","summary":"","format":"limited_html"}],"field_subtitle":"","field_summary":[{"value":"\u003Cp\u003EThe new county-level calculator builds on the team\u2019s interactive state-level tool, which estimates the daily risk that one or more individuals infected with Covid-19 are present in U.S. events of various sizes.\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n","format":"limited_html"}],"field_summary_sentence":[{"value":"The new county-level calculator builds on the team\u2019s interactive state-level tool, which estimates the daily risk that one or more individuals infected with Covid-19 are present in U.S. events of various sizes."}],"uid":"34528","created_gmt":"2022-08-24 14:36:59","changed_gmt":"2024-02-15 21:30:09","author":"jhunt7","boilerplate_text":"","field_publication":"","field_article_url":"","dateline":{"date":"2020-07-07T00:00:00-04:00","iso_date":"2020-07-07T00:00:00-04:00","tz":"America\/New_York"},"extras":[],"hg_media":{"636771":{"id":"636771","type":"image","title":"The team\u0027s interactive map shows the risk level of attending an event, given the event size and location (assuming 10:1 ascertainment bias). The risk level is the estimated chance (0-100%) that at least one Covid-19 positive individual will be present.","body":null,"created":"1594134068","gmt_created":"2020-07-07 15:01:08","changed":"1594134068","gmt_changed":"2020-07-07 15:01:08","alt":"","file":{"fid":"242262","name":"map copy.jpg","image_path":"\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/map%20copy.jpg","image_full_path":"http:\/\/hg.gatech.edu\/\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/map%20copy.jpg","mime":"image\/jpeg","size":788820,"path_740":"http:\/\/hg.gatech.edu\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/740xx_scale\/public\/images\/map%20copy.jpg?itok=Oh0ljyKj"}},"636773":{"id":"636773","type":"image","title":" For an event with 100 attendees in Fulton County on July 6, the estimated risk of someone in attendance being actively infected with Coronavirus is 76 percent. For 1,000 attendees, the estimated risk across most Georgia counties exceeds 99 percent.","body":null,"created":"1594134260","gmt_created":"2020-07-07 15:04:20","changed":"1594134260","gmt_changed":"2020-07-07 15:04:20","alt":"","file":{"fid":"242265","name":"Fulton map.jpg","image_path":"\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/Fulton%20map.jpg","image_full_path":"http:\/\/hg.gatech.edu\/\/sites\/default\/files\/images\/Fulton%20map.jpg","mime":"image\/jpeg","size":1345895,"path_740":"http:\/\/hg.gatech.edu\/sites\/default\/files\/styles\/740xx_scale\/public\/images\/Fulton%20map.jpg?itok=8CahK6v_"}}},"media_ids":["636771","636773"],"related_links":[{"url":"https:\/\/covid19risk.biosci.gatech.edu\/","title":"COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool"},{"url":"https:\/\/www.abil.ihrc.com\/post\/abil-helps-develop-covid-19-risk-assessment-tool","title":"ABiL scientists help develop COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool"},{"url":"https:\/\/cos.gatech.edu\/news\/collaborative-covid-19-research-receives-national-science-foundation-rapid-grant","title":"Collaborative Covid-19 Research Receives National Science Foundation RAPID Grant"},{"url":"https:\/\/rh.gatech.edu\/news\/635137\/immunity-recovered-covid-19-patients-could-cut-risk-expanding-economic-activity","title":"Immunity of Recovered COVID-19 Patients Could Cut Risk of Expanding Economic Activity"},{"url":"https:\/\/blogs.scientificamerican.com\/observations\/online-covid-19-dashboard-calculates-how-risky-reopenings-and-gatherings-can-be\/","title":"Scientific American: Online COVID-19 Dashboard Calculates How Risky Reopenings and Gatherings Can Be"},{"url":"https:\/\/www.nationalgeographic.com\/science\/2020\/03\/graphic-see-why-small-groups-are-safer-during-covid-19-coronavirus-pandemic\/","title":"National Geographic: See why keeping groups small can save lives in the era of COVID-19"},{"url":"https:\/\/www.ajc.com\/blog\/get-schooled\/scientists-the-math-show-how-large-events-like-march-madness-could-spread-coronavirus\/g1pVdzQgJS5aoPnadBqyXO\/","title":"AJC: Scientists do the math to show how large events like March Madness could spread coronavirus"},{"url":"https:\/\/c.gatech.edu\/COVID19Help","title":"Georgia Tech Helping Stories: Responding to Covid-19"}],"groups":[{"id":"620089","name":"Center for Microbial Dynamics and Infection (CMDI)"}],"categories":[{"id":"138","name":"Biotechnology, Health, Bioengineering, Genetics"},{"id":"129","name":"Institute and Campus"},{"id":"135","name":"Research"},{"id":"134","name":"Student and Faculty"},{"id":"8862","name":"Student Research"}],"keywords":[{"id":"181216","name":"cc-research"},{"id":"188231","name":"CMDI"},{"id":"184821","name":"cc-research; ic-hcc; ic-ai-ml; COVID-19"}],"core_research_areas":[{"id":"39441","name":"Bioengineering and Bioscience"},{"id":"39431","name":"Data Engineering and Science"},{"id":"39501","name":"People and Technology"}],"news_room_topics":[],"event_categories":[],"invited_audience":[],"affiliations":[],"classification":[],"areas_of_expertise":[],"news_and_recent_appearances":[],"phone":[],"contact":[{"value":"\u003Cp\u003E\u003Cstrong\u003EJess Hunt-Ralston\u003C\/strong\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nDirector of Communications\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nCollege of Sciences at Georgia Tech\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\njess@cos.gatech.edu\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n\r\n\u003Cp\u003E\u003Cstrong\u003ERenay San Miguel\u003C\/strong\u003E\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nCommunications Officer\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\nCollege of Sciences\u003Cbr \/\u003E\r\n404-894-5209\u003C\/p\u003E\r\n","format":"limited_html"}],"email":["jess@cos.gatech.edu"],"slides":[],"orientation":[],"userdata":""}}}